1st July 2015
Hi ,
Well a big pat on the back for the England womens football team reaching the World Cup semi finals. They face a tough task against Japan if they are to get to the final but I would not put it past them.
It's amazing to think that in our pathetic men in the Brazil World Cup were on a bonus of £350,000 a man and the girls are only on £35,000 each. It begs the question do the F.A. think that a woman is only worth 10% of a man?
Jack Hobbs upheld the Derby form by winning the Irish equivalent over the weekend giving John Gosden another big winner however I must take issue with Gosden over his comments about Adam Kirbys riding at Royal Ascot.
The trainer was quoted as saying that Kirbys riding was more appropriate to the Winter all-weather tracks and not the big meetings. This is highly patronising considering Jack Hobbs is a winner on an artificial surface and also Kirby who rode a four timer at Windsor this week is thought by many to be a splendid jockey. Perhaps Mr Gosden is getting to big for his boots.
This weeks Howies Hottie goes in the 4.30 Thirsk in the shape of David Omearas Rex Imperator. The gelding has been running over longer and a drop to 6 furlongs should suit especially as he has dropped a long way in the weights and now looks very competitive.
I have to report that both Fold4Gold and Betting Opportunity have had a shocking June and things can only improve to get us back to our profit levels of earlier in the season.
You see with most BetFan services we like to keep you informed when we have bad runs not just when we are hitting the target. There are many tipsters out there who shout from the roof tops when winning but keep very quite when things are going wrong.
This is what sets BetFans tipsters apart as it's transparency all the way and all readers and members are kept in the loop rain or shine.
Now most people would tell you the best time to join a tipster is when he has had a good run but my logic is different as I believe the best time to become a member is after a bad run as things will turn and you will be in at the start of a profitable period not when it has already reached its peak.
It reminds me of the story of a lady who during the great depression in 1930 America when all and sundry were getting rid of there stocks and shares she was buying as much as possible at rock bottom prices and by the end of the decade she was one of the wealthiest people in the country. It shows you it pays to go against the tide at times.
Tomorrow evening I'm at Hove greyhound stadium to see my girlfriend Barbaras dog Leithems Desire(Winston) run in a trial stakes for the Sussex Cup. So if you are in the area come and say hello. The meeting is being televised on sky and also Racing Post internet T.V.
EYE-CATCHERS
The eye-catchers continue in superb form with recent winners including Deauville Prince, Tizlove Regardless, Mullionheir and Black Caesar.
FLAT RACING
Shaakis trainer M.Tregoning - He was denied a clear run when making his challenge at Salisbury and would have be involved in the finish for sure.
Automated trainer C.Brittain - The gelding went off like bat from hell and did well to finish 4th with a more considerate ride he should be up to winning a small race.
Major Jack trainer R.Charlton - Everytime the jockey went for a run he was blocked and I'm sure with a clear passage he would have won.
Suegioo trainer M.Botti - Finished strongly from an impossible position in the Northumberland Plate and there must be a big staying prize for him this year.
The Carbonator trainer P.Prendeagast - Needed every yard of the 7 furlongs at Newcastle to make the frame and a step up to the mile can do the trick for this Irish trained gelding.
In Salutem trainer D.Condon - The gelding was staying on over 5 furlongs at the Curragh and an increase in trip is a must.
Back next Wednesday have a good week and be lucky.
Howard Davis-Shaw.
Betting Opportunity
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This Weeks Golf News - De Jonge and Grillo Can Cause Upsets
At this time of the year a young golfing man’s heart turns to links golf and the Open Championship. There is added meaning to the oldest major championship in the sport this year as the host course is St Andrews. With just two more weeks before the Open regular tournaments on the two main Tours are liable to produce upsets and Brendon De Jonge and Emiliano Grillo are the men that could provide the shocks.
De Jonge has the best course form of the entire field for the Greenbrier Classic on the US PGA Tour while Grillo has the best skill’s profile for the French Open in Europe. Many of the better players are honing their game for the Old Course away from the competitive arena so this week provides opportunities for players who normally would not be leading contenders.
The week marks the midpoint between the US Open and British version. The players in the top 50 in the world rankings can plan their seasons around the majors. Probably all of the top 20 in the standings would swap ten regular tournaments for one major. Money is not an issue and a true mark of a players standing in the game is the number of majors won.
The two best players in the history of the game are Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods and they are at the top of the all-time list of major winners. Woods is playing this week but he has now become a caricature of the player that dominated the game at the start of the millennium. He is the only player to hold all four majors at the same time but was never able to achieve the calendar year Grand Slam.
Indeed no player has won the four male professional majors in the same season so Jordan Spieth is half way to making history. In 1953 Ben Hogan won the Masters and US Open but had to choose between the Open and US PGA due to the time taken to travel. He played in the former which he won so is still the player who came closest to achieving the ultimate in golf. Spieth has won the first two majors this season and it would be appropriate if he took the next step at the home of golf.
De Jonge has never won a tournament on the main Tour and has only played in one Open. He missed the cut last year at Hoylake and as it stands is not qualified to play at St Andrews. For a number of years he’s looked like a winner about to happen but not got the job done. He was the 2008 Nationwide Tour Player of the Year but never quite realised that potential when he moved up a level. Winning this week would not only break his duck but he would get a place in the Open.
The player from Zimbabwe has a game ideally suited to the White Sulphur Springs course in West Virginia that has hosted this tournament since it was first introduced to the schedule in 2010. It is one of the easiest par 70s on Tour and is more about accuracy than distance. When Angel Cabrera won the tournament last year he was fourth for fairways hit and first in greens in regulation. The last two champions were both in the top four for birdies.
De Jonge is the only player in the field in the top 40 for driving accuracy, greens in regulation and total birdies. He combines excellent course form with solid current form and has an outstanding skill’s profile. The only negative is that he has wasted winning chances in the past but this week could be his window as other players are focused on the Open Championship. Bubba Watson and Paul Casey head the betting on the back of contesting a play-off for the Travelers Championship which Watson won at the second extra-hole.
Watson has never taken to links golf and in six Open appearances he has missed three cuts and his best finish is tied 23rd in 2012. He missed the cut at St Andrews in 2010 and will be travelling to Scotland more in hope than anticipation. Casey is the more likely contender as he has some form on the Old Course where he was third behind Louis Oosthuizen in 2010. That player was second in the US Open so will be returning to the scene of his greatest week in golf full of confidence. Oosthuizen is a player to oppose this week as his game is not a good fit for While Sulphur Springs.
Conversely, Grillo scores well for the three key skills for good scoring at Le Golf National course in Paris that has staged the French Open since 2002. The course is mostly exposed with quite a lot of undulations and many water hazards. The fairways are average in width leading to bentgrass greens. The rough can be penal which puts a premium on finding the fairways. However, the three par 5s are reachable providing plenty of eagle and birdie opportunities.
The main attributes required to contend this week are driving accuracy, greens in regulation and putting when the greens are found in the correct number of shots. Grillo is the only player in the field in the top 40 for each of these skills so in theory has the ideal profile. That is not reflected in his course form but the field seems less competitive than in previous years. Graeme McDowell has won the last two French Opens but is not playing well enough to complete the treble.
Martin Kaymer is another former winner in the field this week but his form has dipped since his golden run last year when he won the Players Championship and US Open. He has won two majors so now focuses on the four biggest prizes which presents an opening this week for a player like Grillo in Europe and De Jonge in America.
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