Captain Ruck — Oval & Willow

Captain Ruck, an elderly gentleman in a navy cap and claret and navy striped blazer, sitting outside a cricket pavilion at golden hour with a rugby ball and a bat beside him and a match in play behind
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From the Captain's journal

Two captaincies in one year, and thirty years on the touchline.

Now then. In the same year, a long time ago, I captained a county rugby side through the winter and a village cricket eleven through the summer. I have never been busier or happier, and I have never since had a clean pair of trousers.

Then I became a schoolmaster, and for thirty years I ran the First Fifteen from October to March and the First Eleven from April to July. I stood on a great many cold touchlines and sat on a great many warm benches. It teaches you a great deal. Rugby is won up front, by the pack that wants it more, and the weather usually tells you which pack that is. Cricket is very often decided before a ball is bowled — by the pitch, by the sky, and by who calls correctly when the coin goes up.

I am retired now. The old boys still ring on a Saturday morning to ask what I make of the day's fixtures, so I have taken to writing it down properly: a short note each morning, marked fairly, and every bet kept in the open like a school register. No rubbing out.

Here are my terms. I back match winners in rugby union and cricket, and nothing else. I will not back a game I cannot read. I am choosy with the short forms of cricket, which are closer to a coin toss than people like to admit. And when there is nothing worth your money, I shall say so plainly and send you out to enjoy the day.

— The CaptainOval & Willow
PlayedRugby & cricket
TaughtThirty years
BetsMatch winners
EmailBy 9.30am

A morning with the Captain

The scorecard of a good morning.

An early start, a pot of tea and the weather forecast — in that order. All times UK.

No.TimeEntry
106:30The sky firstI look out of the window, then at the forecast for every ground on the day's list. Rain changes both games.
207:30Team sheets and pitch reportsWho is rested, who is back, and what the groundsman has left us.
308:30Marking upPencil in hand. Most fixtures are crossed out here. That is rather the point.
409:00Written up at the deskTwo or three sentences a pick, and the one thing that worries me.
509:30The email lands with youBy half past nine, every morning. Picks, prices and stakes — or an honest "no bet today".
6LaterPlay beginsA day's cricket in England usually starts at 10.30 or 11. Rugby is mostly afternoons and Friday evenings.
Anything that has already started by the time the email goes, I leave alone.

The method, explained

The oval ball and the willow. Read quite differently.

People think a sporting man reads every game the same way. He does not. A rugby match and a cricket match ask completely different questions, so I keep them in separate columns, as any decent scorer would.

The Oval

Rugby union
  1. The pack decides it. Whoever wins the set piece — the scrum and the lineout — usually wins the game. Backs look lovely; forwards pay the bills.
  2. Weather and pitch. Wind and rain favour the heavier, kicking side. A dry, fast pitch favours the runners.
  3. Rotation. Clubs rest players around the big European weekends. A second-string side at a first-string price is my favourite kind of fixture to oppose.
  4. Home advantage. In some leagues it is enormous — the French one especially. Away sides travel there more in hope than expectation.

The Willow

Cricket
  1. The pitch. Green and damp helps the seamers; dry and cracked helps the spinners. Pick the side whose bowlers suit the surface.
  2. The sky. Cloud cover makes the ball swing. A bright, hot day flattens everything out and favours the batters.
  3. The toss. In day-night games, batting second under lights can be a great deal harder, or easier. I wait for the toss where I can.
  4. Team news and travel. Some sides travel very badly. A touring team on a strange surface is worth a long look.

The shorter the game, the choosier I am

The longer a cricket match, the more the better side tends to come through. The short forms are closer to a coin toss, so I need a very good reason.

Long formSeveral days. Quality tells.
One-dayFifty overs a side. Fair contest.
Twenty oversAn evening's slog. Be choosy.

How I pick

The four laws of the pavilion.

Law the first

Match winners only

Who wins the game. No handicaps, no totals, no top batsman. A straight bat.

Law the second

A price worth the walk

Roughly 2/5 to 4/1. Heavy favourites pay too little; long shots are usually long for a reason.

Law the third

Conditions before reputation

The pitch, the sky and the team sheet matter more than last season's table.

Law the fourth

If in doubt, leave it out

No bet is a perfectly respectable innings. You will be told, and you keep your money.

A short note with your morning tea, written by someone who has watched both games for fifty years.

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A worked example

What arrives at half past nine.

Example only · not a tip · no result claimed Rugby union · Saturday afternoon

Hollowmere to beat Ashbridge Vale

1 point win @ 4/5 (1.80)

Wind and rain forecast all afternoon, which suits Hollowmere's big pack down to the ground. Ashbridge Vale have rested three forwards ahead of next week's cup tie, and a light pack in the wet is a long afternoon. Home side, heavier side, right weather.

What worries me: Ashbridge Vale's kicker is very good in the wind. If the scoreboard is tight at the break, it could come down to one penalty.

— The Captain

Made-up clubs, made-up match. It shows the format of a note, nothing more.

The sum, done properly
Stake: 1 point on the win at 4/51 point
If it wins: profit at 4/5 (4 for every 5 staked)0.8 points
Total back if it wins, stake included1.8 points
If it loses−1 point

If a point is £5 to you, a winner at 4/5 pays back £9 and a loser costs £5. That is arithmetic, not a result — no result is claimed here.

What you get

One note, every morning.

9.30

By email

In your inbox by half past nine, before the day's play.

0–3

Picks

Rugby union and cricket match winners, with the price and the stake in points.

Why

The reasons

Two or three sentences a pick, and what worries me about it.

Rest

Honest days off

Nothing worth backing? The note comes anyway, and says so.

Questions

From the back of the class.

When does the email arrive?

By 9.30am UK time, every morning. English cricket usually starts at 10.30 or 11, and rugby is mostly in the afternoon or on a Friday evening, so there is time to read it over breakfast.

What is a point, and how much should I stake?

A point is a sum you choose — £1, £5, £10. Choose one you can comfortably afford to lose and keep to it. Most picks are 1 point; when I am most confident, 2.

What if the price has moved?

If it has lengthened, splendid. If it has shortened a long way, you are quite entitled to leave it. There is always another fixture.

What happens on no-bet days?

You still get the note, telling you there is nothing I would back and why. Rain stops play in betting too, and that is no bad thing.

Why is the first month £9.99?

It is an introductory price for new members, once per person — a term's trial, if you like. After that it is £35 every 28 days, and you may cancel any time.

How do I cancel?

Any time, through your PayPal account. No forms, no telephone calls, no questions asked.

Is there a record?

Yes. It starts on day one. Every bet is published and settled in the open, win or lose.

Your innings starts here

£9.99 first month (once per person), then £35 every 28 days · cancel any time · 18+
Take guard — £9.99
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My record starts from day one. Every bet is published and settled in the open, win or lose. Nothing is hidden and nothing is added afterwards.

£9.99 first monththen £35 every 28 days
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