19th May 2015
Hi %%First Name%%,
The main race and talking point of last week was the Dante Stakes at York, won impressively by Golden Horn who beat our ante post bet Jack Hobbs. The owner thought he wouldn’t stay the Epsom Derby distance so didn’t enter him and the plan was to go to the shorter French Derby. I believe with so much influence on speed in breeding now very few flat horses are actually bred to stay 1M 4F. He wasn’t stopping at the end of the Dante and will take all the beating if supplemented and runs at Epsom. I wasn’t too disappointed by Jack Hobbs as he ran green and I think would prefer a bit more juice in the ground. The only other realistic contender is the Irish horse Zawraq.
American Pharoah easily won the second leg of the American Triple Crown the Preakness Stakes, wiring in the slop. He is now odds on to complete the Triple Crown in three weeks at Belmont. No horse has managed this since Affirmed in 1977 ridden by my second fav’ jockey Steve Cauhten, my all-time fav King Richard of Hills!
Thirteen horses have won the first two legs since and all have been beaten in the Belmont, as you’ll see this gives us one of the best betting opportunities of the year, it’s very demanding to win these racing in such a short space of time and gives a fresh improver a massive chance at Belmont. It’s also the longest leg and as mentioned about horses not breed to stay the Epsom Derby distance the US are worse and this is seen as a marathon.
Last year I highlighted Tonalist at 11/1 who had won the Belmont Trail the Peter Pan stakes and 11/1 was amazing value, plus lay the fav. This year’s Peter Pan winner was not so impressive Madefromlucky and currently 22/1 he might be worth a small each way saver. I’m going for FROSTED he ran a nice race in the Kentucky Derby and has been kept fresh for this, plus will be one of the few suited by a step up in trip he’s my pick currently 6/1, get on!
Last week’s new entries to the hotlist:
LIFE LESS ORDINARY, LITTLE VOICE, RITE TO REIGN, CRYPTONYM, BESS OF HARDWICK, MURGAN, PETERHOF & MAWJOOD..
My Punt of The Day: 8:50 Chelmsford - Cerutty - Win Bet
Back next Tuesday.
Jimmy Welsh
The Shrewd Tipster
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