24th March 2015
Hi %%First Name%%
It’s been a very sparse week both on the quality of racing and betting opportunities however we have a cracking weekend in store with the start of the flat turf season at Doncaster, one of the fairest and best punting tracks in the country. It’s also the Dubai World Cup where there has been a massive pace favouring bias during the carnival in favour of the front runner, the dirt kick back is so severe you have no chance if not up with the pace from the start.
A few weeks ago I gave you a list of horses who would have ran over the winter on the all-weather and I believe will translate their form and superior fitness to make them excellent betting mediums in the early part of the flat turf season. This week’s list to follow have not ran over the winter but are due to be out in the early part of the turf season and all have scope for long term improvement:
CERTIFICATE - Only won once from five starts but has been well supported as homework is excellent and definitely one to keep on the right side of.
WHITE LAKE - No 2yo impressed me in the paddock as he did at York last year and duly bolted up, couldn’t believe he got beat next time but inexperienced, could still win a nice race.
HATHAL - Ran second in a very hot maiden, given no chance when too far back, a banker for an early season maiden, could even end up group class.
TIMBA - Won over a mile first timeout which indicates will have no problems staying middle distance as a 3yo so I found it surprising she was dropped in trip to 7f next time and not surprisingly got slightly out speeded definitely one to follow when upped in trip.
DISSOLUTION - Won last timeout at Goodwood but not impressively however will be well handicapped this year and step up in trip will bring out further improvement, will end the year much higher rated.
LORD OF THE ROCK - Was miles the pick of the paddock in hot maiden at Ayr was very unlucky in running and will progress in the north.
JORDAN PRINCESS - Trainer excels with these type of fillies, I know it’s a long bit away but I’ve already got her down as the winner of the Galtres stakes at Ebor meeting and can pay for the champers!
This week’s new additions to the All-Weather hot list:
WHAT ASHAM, SPECULATIVE BID, HAPPY JACK, LIBRISA BREEZE & LADY KYLLAR.
Today I fancy a Win Bet on Thomas Blossom in the 4:35 Wolverhampton 9/4 with Ladbrokes.
Back next Tuesday ahead of the excellent All-Weather Championship finals day at Lingfield on Good Friday.
Jimmy Welsh
The Shrewd Tipster
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