9th May 2015
Hi %%First Name%%,
Andy Bell’s Racing Diary...
Saturday 2nd. We dropped an absolute Mayday bollock big time yesterday and we now have some serious making up to do. On hind sight which is very easy now we went in far too big on three horses and got our fingers well and truly burnt. On the flip side my LATE service started off really well with Doctor Newlands EXPRESS DU BERLAIS winning very easily for us at 13/8 and MTADA SUPREME nicking us a place in our ew double with the Good Doctors winner, making us a nice profit on the day.
I have consented to putting up four selections to my members today and tomorrow at Newmarket.
As you all know I'm heading to Newmarket today for the first classic of the year, where the young boys strut their stuff. I arrive in plenty of time as I know its going to be a 17000+ crowd today and Newmarket gets grid locked after about 12-00 clock.
The first of my four is STEPPER POINT ew at 5/1 who finished just behind SOLE POWER in the Nunthorpe and I can’t see the favourite, WATCHABLE, winning who has been dropped back from 6f to 5f, maybe its because of the very large amount of place price money on offer for this kind of race.
Next I'm with our Gaelic friends who bring across the very smart TERRITORRIES ew at 6/1 in the 2000g. Harry Candys very smart and quick TWILIGHT SUN at 11/8 who comes here unbeaten and is reportedly flying at home is my next selection and finally the Richard Hannon trained 15/8 shot MUTASAYYID in the last, finally I have a swing at tonight's Hexham Hunter chase.
As I arrive in the owners and trainers bar I'm immediately called to the bar as its Micky Quinns birthday and things are already rocking, ex Norwich striker and top trainer Michael Channon is in full flow and a few others are in the school. I manage to avoid the bubbles for a while as I want to finish off a couple more things and need to get my LATE service sorted.
My Irish contact "Paddy" lol, is all over the newish recruit to the Mullins ranks at Punchestown the 16/1 shot CLONDAW WARRIOR who i email out as a maximum ew bet, also and hopefully with all the focus on Newmarket and Punchestown we can nip one under the radar in the first at Uttoxeter. Dicky rides MIDNIGHT SHOT who is trading at 5/2 which i suggest taking.
With all my days bets and emails sorted I can now return to the birthday celebrations and of course the bubbles.
Dicky nearly gets under my radar and I just remember in time as he is jumping to the front two out and bolts up on MIDNIGHT SHOT and gets our day of to a great winning start.
Next STEPPER POINT just misses out on a place by a neck beating WATCHABLE the well backed 5/2 favourite in the process, proving my theory correct but not paying any bills.
Ryan Moore steers the new kiddie on the block from Ballydoyle, GLENEAGLES to quite a cozy win beating our TERRITORRIES into second. Just a NOTE for you all I am told that Ballydoyle have a fantastic little unraced Galileo filly which they think is exceptional and she is named COOLMORE.
Michael Channon brings the elated Guest family to the bar and the party who have just bagged a fourth in the Guineas with their 50/1 shot BOSSY GUEST and now there is certainly no shortage of bubbles, ten bottles in fact and they are firmly of the opinion we will next see their charge at Royal Ascot, have a second look at him as I think he was a shade unlucky in running.
Come on CLONDAW is our shout as three out our 16/1 LATE service punt looks like winning and unfortunately just gets ran out of things but gets us a really profit with a place.
TWILIGHT SON can be called the winner two out and we have bagged our first winner with the minimum of fuss although it’s reported he hated the jar in the ground. Personally I thought he would also go to Royal Ascot but Mr Candy is going to try and keep him under wraps, we will see.
Finally we all cheer home MUTASAYYID giving me all the party and my punters a super end to Newmarket, my meager winnings don't get a look in at the bar, as in the grand scale of things the 26k for fourth is being very well and nicely reinvested and not a bottle of house in sight.
So many of you were so surprised at my factual figures on early morning prices and SP's on EVERY big race I thought I would just redo my exercise for today's 2000g and tomorrows 1000g just to reiterate my point and hopefully help some or even better all of you.
Todays 2000g first ten finishes.
BEST EARLY MORNING PRICE - SP
1st. GLENEAGLES 4/1 4/1
2nd. TERRITORIES 6/1 5/1
3rd. IVAWOOD 12/1 10/1
4th. BOSSY GUEST 100/1 50/1
5th. CELESTIAL PATH 33/1 14/1
6th. HOME OF THE BRAVE 33/1 25/1
7th. DUTCH CONNECTION 25/1 25/1
8th. MOHEET 22/1 20/1
9th. HAIL THE HERO 150/1 100/1
10th. CAPELLA SANSEVERO 80/1 40/1
Now somebody please tell me why should we actually bet on the course, not one single horse in the front ten returned a bigger price than the SP. Don't get me wrong the on course bookmakers are an integral part of our racing and without them it would be awful, but come on give us all a fighting chance and stop taking the mickey out of the on course punters, who pay good money to get in. I will do my final analyses tomorrow, hopefully it has enlightened some of you and hopefully all of you, because getting the best prices is absolutely vital to making profits and winning money.
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Andy Bell Racing
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