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26th February 2016

Good Morning ,

SIX NATIONS: Wins For England and Wales To Set Up Showdown at Twickenham

If fixtures go to form in the Six Nations this weekend the match between England and Wales at Twickenham on March 12th could become the championship decider. After round three of fixtures and wins for those teams against Ireland and France at home the showdown at the home of rugby may determine who wins the Six Nations. The Italy versus Scotland match in Rome on Saturday is the key match in determining who wins the wooden spoon for finishing last.

The weekend of European rugby begins on Friday night when Wales host France at the Millennium Stadium in Cardiff. Wales are 8 point favourites but a win by a smaller margin is projected based on recent form. France have beaten Ireland and Italy at home but only narrowly while Wales have drawn with Ireland and beaten Scotland. However, the winning margin in those fixtures has been no more than 4 points. All four matches could have easily ended with a different outcome.

It is fair to assume that there is little to choose between Wales and France and home advantage can be key. Playing at your own stadium in the Six Nations is on average worth about six points which suggest the handicap has been pitched marginally too high and France should be backed with a start of eight points. You could take a slightly shorter price and back them at plus 10. In any case a Wales win by one score looks a feasible outcome.

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Love Sport