Win Free Tips (Tips for 6th May 2017)

6th May 2017

TODAY'S WIN FREE TIP NEWS:

Daban Can Win The 1,000 Guineas For Dettori And Gosden - Rick Elliott 

Aiden O'Brien has favourites for the two Guineas at Newmarket this weekend and one looks vulnerable. The case for his Churchill has been made for the 2,000 Guineas but Daban is the horse that could upset the market leader in the filly's equivalent. Churchill looks a good thing in the first Classic but Rhododendron will have a tough nut to crack in Daban in the 1,000 Guineas on Sunday.

The race is run on the Rowley Mile over eight furlongs and as a Classic only three-year-olds are eligible. It's the first leg of the filly's Triple Crown which is completed by the Oaks at Epsom in June and the St Leger at Doncaster in September. The last horse to win all three races was Oh So Sharp in 1985. Horses are now bred for middle distances so winning Group 1 races from one mile to one mile six furlongs over five months is too much for anything but a superstar in the modern era.

In the last 10 years four Irish trained horses have won the 1,000 Guineas, three based in Britain have been successful and three have travelled from France to prevail. Six winners over the last decade raced in their three year old season ahead of the Classic, five had won or been placed over one mile and all but three had winning or place form at Newmarket. The two most important trials are the Nell Gwyn Stakes and Fred Darling Stakes but no horse has won one of those races and the Guineas over this 10 year period.

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