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1st April 2017

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Blaklion Weighted To Win The National - Rick Elliot

Blaklion is the type of high quality chaser that has been given a chance to win the Grand National by how the weights are formed. The winner of the RSA Chase at Cheltenham last season ran a great prep race in the National Trial at Haydock and can deliver at Aintree in the most famous race in the world. More Of That and Saphir Du Rheu produced eye catching efforts in the Cheltenham Gold Cup and can get in the mix for a race that looks like producing a winner from the top draw. 

The nature of the race has changed in recent years due to modifications to the course to increase safety but the intrinsic challenge of jumping 30 fences over almost four and a half miles remains. In the modern era of attracting a quality field potential winners must have stamina, a touch of speed and class to find something at the business end of the race and obviously good jumping ability. Our three against the field have those attributes and meet some of the 20 year trends. 

In the past you could use trends to eliminate most of the field. However, there are now many more qualifiers who have a decent profile based on recent historical results. Statistics can tell many stories but the National can still throw up results that defy the trends. If finding the winner was like when betting on other races the National would not attract once a year punters and by far the biggest racing audience of the year. The People's Race is still something of a lottery but these significant trends can help you separate the wheat from the chaff.

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